What Will The Internet Look Like In 10 Years?
The Internet Society engaged in a scenario planning exercise to reveal plausible courses of events that could impact the health of the Internet in the future. While obviously not intended to be a definitive overview of the landscape or all potential issues, we believe the results are interesting and, we hope, thought-provoking.
We are sharing them in the hope that they will inspire thought about possibilities for the future development of the Internet, and involvement in helping to make that happen in the best possible way.
- Positive “generative” and “distributed & decentralised” properties.
- Opportunity and growth abound, with no insurmountable barriers to entry for those wishing to take part.
- Disputes and challenges are resolved through competition, as opposed to negotiation or inherited rights.
- Constant evolution and features a healthy ecosystem of interlinked network operators, developers, infrastructure providers, resource management organisations, etc.
- Organisation and operation tends to be “horizontal”, not “vertical”, so that the underlying building blocks (technologies, networks, etc.) are available to all to build upon.
- The “win” for the Internet is that it remains able to react and respond to new requirements.
- Positive “generative” and “distributed & decentralised” properties.
- Opportunity and growth abound, with no insurmountable barriers to entry for those wishing to take part.
- Disputes and challenges are resolved through competition, as opposed to negotiation or inherited rights.
- Constant evolution and features a healthy ecosystem of interlinked network operators, developers, infrastructure providers, resource management organisations, etc.
- Organisation and operation tends to be “horizontal”, not “vertical”, so that the underlying building blocks (technologies, networks, etc.) are available to all to build upon.
- The “win” for the Internet is that it remains able to react and respond to new requirements.
- Sees networks staying global but with access to content and services tied to the use of specific networks and associated information appliances.
- Individual (business) viability would triumph over the economic potential of the common pool of the Internet.
- Financial incentives for content producers and software developers would mean continued innovation within the appliance-based model.
- Control over content, pricing, licensing and other concerns would be firmly in the hands of relatively few large commercial organisations.
- Proprietary, closed technologies would abound and exclusive deals with content producers and physical communications networks would oblige consumers to purchase multiple appliances and associated subscriptions to avail themselves of the full range of innovation on the network.
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